FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew prediction

FC Dallas – Columbus Crew, MLS, Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 12:30 AM (GMT). Venue: Toyota Stadium

FC Dallas is #2 in the table (54 pts) and Columbus Crew #10 (38 pts). 8 places separate the two teams in the table. FC Dallas is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Columbus Crew is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: FC Dallas 0, draws 4, Columbus Crew 2. Their last meeting, on September 24, 2023, ended FC Dallas 1-1 Columbus Crew.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Dallas bring stronger season-long standing, home advantage and a productive attacking focal point in Musa into an important late-season fixture. Columbus arrive in improved recent form, but their away record and a potentially depleted spine make the trip more difficult. Farrington’s reported absence removes a useful Dallas support runner, while Abou Ali’s injury takes away a direct Crew penalty-box option. Expect an open contest shaped by whether Columbus’s creators can play through Dallas’s pressure before Musa receives decisive service.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Columbus hold the stronger historical head-to-head record, but recent meetings have been notably tight: the last two in Dallas finished level. That history supports caution against treating the venue alone as decisive.

Injuries and absences

Farrington’s reported lower-body absence narrows Dallas’s options alongside Musa, though it also makes the home side’s central focal point clearer. Columbus are without Abou Ali and Camacho, while Gomes is listed as questionable, weakening both their attacking depth and defensive cover.

Form (last 5)

FC DallasLeague position #2 · 54 ptsW D W
Columbus CrewLeague position #10 · 38 ptsW W W

FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew stats

FC DallasColumbus Crew
Played3131
Goals scored5850
Goals conceded4749
Clean sheets86

Last meetings

  • 2023-09-24FC Dallas 1-1 Columbus Crew
  • 2020-10-04FC Dallas 2-2 Columbus Crew
  • 2019-03-16Columbus Crew 1-0 FC Dallas
  • 2018-09-16FC Dallas 0-0 Columbus Crew
  • 2017-08-26Columbus Crew 2-1 FC Dallas
  • 2016-04-03FC Dallas 1-1 Columbus Crew

Other MLS matches