Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union prediction

Nashville SC – Philadelphia Union, MLS, Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 12:30 AM (GMT). Venue: Geodis Park

Nashville SC is #1 in the table (70 pts) and Philadelphia Union #6 (46 pts). Nashville SC is unbeaten in its last 5 matches. Nashville SC averages 2.1 goals per match this season. Philadelphia Union averages 2 goals per match this season. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Nashville SC 3, draws 1, Philadelphia Union 2. Their last meeting, on May 2, 2026, ended Philadelphia Union 0-0 Nashville SC.

Nashville SC

12:30 AM

Philadelphia Union

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Nashville come into the fixture as the conference leaders and have been exceptionally forceful at GEODIS Park, particularly in the final third. Philadelphia remain dangerous after a strong attacking spell, but their loss at New England was followed by the damaging suspension of Bruno Damiani. The Union’s rapid transition game, led by Milan Iloski, gives them a live route back into the match if Nashville commit numbers forward. The home side’s Mukhtar-Surridge connection and Philadelphia’s thinner forward line are the central themes.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

The current league meeting ended scoreless in Philadelphia, showing the Union can frustrate Nashville when their structure holds. However, Nashville have won the last three competitive home meetings in the supplied sequence, including two clean sheets.

Injuries and absences

Philadelphia are more affected than the initial availability list suggests: Damiani is confirmed suspended, while Cavan Sullivan has an ankle problem and Anello is also listed out. Damiani’s absence is the key tactical blow because it disrupts the visitors’ established front-two balance.

Form (last 5)

Nashville SCLeague position #1 · 70 ptsW D W

Philadelphia UnionLeague position #6 · 46 ptsW D L

Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union stats

	Nashville SC	Philadelphia Union
Played	31	31
Goals scored	66	62
Goals conceded	23	50
Clean sheets	15	6

Last meetings

2026-05-02Philadelphia Union 0-0 Nashville SC
2025-09-17Nashville SC 3-1 Philadelphia Union
2025-07-06Nashville SC 1-0 Philadelphia Union
2025-03-16Philadelphia Union 1-3 Nashville SC
2024-07-20Philadelphia Union 3-0 Nashville SC
2024-04-07Nashville SC 1-2 Philadelphia Union