Toronto FC vs DC United prediction

Toronto FC – DC United, MLS, Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 11:30 PM (GMT). Venue: BMO Field

Toronto FC is #11 in the table (36 pts) and DC United #13 (33 pts). DC United has not won any of its last 5 matches. Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Toronto FC 2, draws 2, DC United 2. Their last meeting, on July 25, 2026, ended DC United 2-1 Toronto FC.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is an important Eastern Conference meeting between sides still chasing a stronger finish, with Toronto holding the home-field edge and D.C. United needing to arrest a poor run. Toronto’s BMO Field attack has been substantially more productive than its away version, but their defensive record means the match should remain uncomfortable if D.C. can break quickly. D.C. United’s away form is the major concern, while the reported availability issues add uncertainty to both squads. The recent head-to-head series supports an open contest rather than a cagey stalemate.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

The last ten meetings are closely split and have generally been open, with several fixtures featuring goals for both clubs. Toronto won the most recent BMO Field encounter in the supplied sequence, while D.C. United took the latest meeting in Washington.

Injuries and absences

There is conflicting availability information: the supplied match data reports no absences, but FotMob lists Zimmerman and Palacio out for Toronto and Kijima, Munteanu and Segal out for D.C. Zimmerman’s reported absence would particularly weaken Toronto’s leadership and aerial defence, while Munteanu’s would reduce D.C.’s forward depth.

Form (last 5)

Toronto FCLeague position #11 · 36 ptsD W L
DC UnitedLeague position #13 · 33 ptsL L L

Toronto FC vs DC United stats

Toronto FCDC United
Played3131
Goals scored4838
Goals conceded5955
Clean sheets46

Last meetings

  • 2026-07-25DC United 2-1 Toronto FC
  • 2025-05-10Toronto FC 2-0 DC United
  • 2025-02-23DC United 2-2 Toronto FC
  • 2024-08-31Toronto FC 1-3 DC United
  • 2024-06-01DC United 2-2 Toronto FC
  • 2023-05-27Toronto FC 2-1 DC United

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