Frosinone vs Lecce prediction

Frosinone – Lecce, Serie A, Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 05:30 PM (GMT). Venue: Stadio Benito Stirpe

Frosinone is #6 in the table (13 pts) and Lecce #12 (9 pts). Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Frosinone 0, draws 3, Lecce 3. Their last meeting, on March 3, 2024, ended Frosinone 1-1 Lecce.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Frosinone bring the better domestic momentum and a convincing home attacking record into a significant early-season meeting. Lecce remain dangerous on the break, and their recent head-to-head record gives them a real psychological counterweight. The central issue is Lecce's depleted midfield, particularly the loss of Coulibaly, against a Frosinone side likely to push bodies into advanced areas. Late team news around Frosinone's centre-forward options will determine how much of that territorial edge becomes clear chances.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Lecce hold the meaningful recent head-to-head advantage, with Frosinone winless across the last six meetings. Several of those matches were close, reinforcing the likelihood that game state and set-pieces matter more than history alone.

Injuries and absences

Coulibaly's confirmed hamstring absence removes a key defensive runner from Lecce's midfield; reported injuries to Ilić and Berisha would compound that problem. Frosinone's attacking availability needs confirmation because reports differ on whether Raimondo is fit.

Form (last 5)

FrosinoneLeague position #6 · 13 ptsW L W
LecceLeague position #12 · 9 ptsL L W

Frosinone vs Lecce stats

FrosinoneLecce
Played77
Goals scored139
Goals conceded912
Clean sheets22

Last meetings

  • 2024-03-03Frosinone 1-1 Lecce
  • 2023-12-16Lecce 2-1 Frosinone
  • 2022-04-02Lecce 1-0 Frosinone
  • 2021-11-20Frosinone 0-0 Lecce
  • 2021-03-20Frosinone 0-3 Lecce
  • 2020-12-12Lecce 2-2 Frosinone

Other Serie A matches