Bournemouth vs Aston Villa prediction

Bournemouth – Aston Villa, Carabao Cup, Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 07:45 PM (GMT). Venue: Vitality Stadium

Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Bournemouth 0, draws 3, Aston Villa 3. Their last meeting, on February 7, 2026, ended Bournemouth 1-1 Aston Villa.

Bournemouth

07:45 PM

Aston Villa

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

Bournemouth have home momentum and will aim to turn an intense start into territory, corners and transition chances. Villa arrive in strong form themselves, carrying the organisation and controlled possession patterns associated with Emery’s side. The decisive variables are the final line-ups and whether Bournemouth can disrupt Villa’s build-up without exposing themselves behind the first press. Clear, cool conditions should support a lively match rather than suppress its tempo.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 5 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

The recent series is finely contested, with Aston Villa holding a modest edge in results while Bournemouth have also produced notable home wins. Several of the latest meetings have been decided by fine margins, which fits the likely tension of a cup fixture.

Injuries and absences

No absences are confirmed in the supplied fixture feed, but external availability pages list possible concerns on both sides. Confirmation of those reports before kick-off is essential, especially for defensive and midfield continuity.

Form (last 5)

BournemouthW

Aston VillaW

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa stats

	Bournemouth	Aston Villa
Played	1	1
Goals scored	4	3
Goals conceded	0	1
Clean sheets	1	0

Last meetings

2026-02-07Bournemouth 1-1 Aston Villa
2025-11-09Aston Villa 4-0 Bournemouth
2025-05-10Bournemouth 0-1 Aston Villa
2024-10-26Aston Villa 1-1 Bournemouth
2024-04-21Aston Villa 3-1 Bournemouth
2023-12-03Bournemouth 2-2 Aston Villa