Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction

Liverpool – Chelsea, Carabao Cup, Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 08:00 PM (GMT). Venue: Anfield

Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Liverpool 3, draws 1, Chelsea 2. Their last meeting, on May 9, 2026, ended Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a closely balanced League Cup tie at Anfield, with Liverpool carrying the stronger recent all-competitions rhythm and Chelsea bringing an attack that has started the league season forcefully. The hosts have the venue advantage, but Chelsea possess the individual creativity to punish a high press or loose second ball. With no confirmed absences in the supplied snapshot and benign weather, the contest should be shaped more by selection choices and midfield control than outside disruption. Expect an intense, open knockout match rather than a cautious stalemate.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

The recent head-to-head record is competitive rather than one-sided: Chelsea have had the better of the latest league meetings, while Liverpool have also claimed notable wins, including in this competition. Their most recent encounter finished level, underlining how narrow the margin has become.

Injuries and absences

No confirmed absences are reported in the supplied snapshot, so neither side is currently expected to make an enforced tactical downgrade. The decisive issue is likely to be voluntary cup rotation rather than injury replacement.

Form (last 5)

LiverpoolW
ChelseaW W

Liverpool vs Chelsea stats

LiverpoolChelsea
Played12
Goals scored38
Goals conceded13
Clean sheets01

Last meetings

  • 2026-05-09Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea
  • 2025-10-04Chelsea 2-1 Liverpool
  • 2025-05-04Chelsea 3-1 Liverpool
  • 2024-10-20Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea
  • 2024-02-25Chelsea 0-1 Liverpool
  • 2024-01-31Liverpool 4-1 Chelsea

Other Carabao Cup matches