Everton vs Newcastle prediction

Everton – Newcastle, Carabao Cup, Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (GMT). Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium

Last 6 head-to-head meetings: Everton 3, draws 2, Newcastle 1. Their last meeting, on August 12, 2026, ended Newcastle 1-3 Everton.

AI confidence: Medium

AI match recap

This is a proper knockout test between two sides who have begun their league seasons strongly. Everton bring the home crowd, recent positive results against Newcastle and a cleaner availability picture. Newcastle retain enough quality to threaten whenever they break the first press, but their late-fitness management is a meaningful complication. Expect a tense match in which wide deliveries, restarts and the final substitutions shape the decisive spell.

Predicted score and probabilities

The AI's exact score, win/draw/loss probabilities, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 and 4 key factors are in the full analysis.

See the full AI analysis

Head-to-head analysis

Everton have won the most recent competitive meetings and took the August friendly as well, although the broader recent series contains emphatic wins for both clubs. This fixture has not followed one consistent scoring pattern, making game state especially important.

Injuries and absences

Everton have no reported absences, whereas Newcastle’s reported concerns centre on Livramento plus the managed returns of Elanga and Ramsey. That particularly affects Newcastle’s width, running power and flexibility from the substitutes’ bench.

Form (last 5)

EvertonW W
NewcastleW W

Everton vs Newcastle stats

EvertonNewcastle
Played22
Goals scored54
Goals conceded02
Clean sheets21

Last meetings

  • 2026-08-12Newcastle 1-3 Everton
  • 2026-02-28Newcastle 2-3 Everton
  • 2025-11-29Everton 1-4 Newcastle
  • 2025-05-25Newcastle 0-1 Everton
  • 2024-10-05Everton 0-0 Newcastle
  • 2024-04-02Newcastle 1-1 Everton

Other Carabao Cup matches